Hawaii Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Ige a 61% chance of winning the Hawaii Governor 2018 primary. David Ige won, matching the model's top pick.

1. David Ige — 61% model odds (won)
2. Colleen Hanabusa — 8% model odds
3. Ernest Caravalho — 8% model odds
4. Wendell Ka'Ehu'Ae'A — 8% model odds
5. Richard Kim — 8% model odds
6. Van Tanabe — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts