Florida Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Desantis a 13% chance of winning the Florida Governor 2018 primary. Ron Desantis won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ron Desantis — 13% model odds (won)
2. Adam Putnam — 13% model odds
3. Bob White — 13% model odds
4. Timothy M. Devine — 13% model odds
5. Bob Langford — 13% model odds
6. Bruce Nathan — 13% model odds
7. Don Baldauf — 13% model odds
8. John Joseph Mercadante — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts