Connecticut Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ned Lamont an 81% chance of winning the Connecticut Governor 2018 primary. Ned Lamont won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Ned Lamont — 81% model odds
  2. Bob Stefanowski — 19% model odds
  3. Ned Lamont — 0% model odds
  4. Ned Lamont — 0% model odds (won)
  5. Bob Stefanowski — 0% model odds
  6. Bob Stefanowski — 0% model odds
  7. Oz Griebel — 0% model odds
  8. Rod Hanscomb — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts