California Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John H. Cox a 20% chance of winning the California Governor 2018 primary. John H. Cox won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John H. Cox — 20% model odds (won)
2. Travis Allen — 20% model odds
3. Robert C. Newman Ii — 20% model odds
4. Peter Y. Liu — 20% model odds
5. Yvonne Girard — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts