California Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gavin Newsom an 8% chance of winning the California Governor 2018 primary. Gavin Newsom won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gavin Newsom — 8% model odds (won)
  2. Antonio Villaraigosa — 8% model odds
  3. John Chiang — 8% model odds
  4. Delaine Eastin — 8% model odds
  5. Amanda Renteria — 8% model odds
  6. Michael Shellenberger — 8% model odds
  7. J. Bribiesca — 8% model odds
  8. Albert Caesar Mezzetti — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts