Arizona Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Doug Ducey a 69% chance of winning the Arizona Governor 2018 primary. Doug Ducey won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Doug Ducey — 69% model odds (won)
  2. David Garcia — 31% model odds
  3. Angel Torres — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts