Arkansas Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Asa Hutchinson a 91% chance of winning the Arkansas Governor 2018 primary. Asa Hutchinson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Asa Hutchinson — 91% model odds (won)
  2. Jan Morgan — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts