Arkansas Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Asa Hutchinson an 85% chance of winning the Arkansas Governor 2018 primary. Asa Hutchinson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Asa Hutchinson — 85% model odds (won)
2. Jared Henderson — 10% model odds
3. Mark West — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts