Alabama Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kay Ivey a 70% chance of winning the Alabama Governor 2018 primary. Kay Ivey won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kay Ivey — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Tommy Battle — 7% model odds
  3. Scott Dawson — 7% model odds
  4. Bill Hightower — 7% model odds
  5. Michael Mcallister (Deceased) — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts