Alaska Governor 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Dunleavy a 14% chance of winning the Alaska Governor 2018 primary. Mike Dunleavy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Dunleavy — 14% model odds (won)
  2. Mead Treadwell — 14% model odds
  3. Michael Sheldon — 14% model odds
  4. Merica Hlatcu — 14% model odds
  5. Thomas Gordon — 14% model odds
  6. Gerald Heikes — 14% model odds
  7. Darin Colbry — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts