Washington Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jay Inslee an 85% chance of winning the Washington Governor 2016 primary. Jay Inslee won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jay Inslee — 85% model odds (won)
2. Patrick O'Rourke — 5% model odds
3. James Robert Deal — 5% model odds
4. Johnathan Dodds — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts