Vermont Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sue Minter a 21% chance of winning the Vermont Governor 2016 primary. Sue Minter won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sue Minter — 21% model odds (won)
  2. Matt Dunne — 21% model odds
  3. Cris Ericson — 20% model odds
  4. H. Brooke Paige — 20% model odds
  5. Peter Galbraith — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts