Oregon Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kate Brown a 73% chance of winning the Oregon Governor 2016 primary. Kate Brown won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kate Brown — 73% model odds (won)
2. Julian Bell — 5% model odds
3. Dave Stauffer — 5% model odds
4. Steve Johnson — 5% model odds
5. Kevin M. Forsythe — 5% model odds
6. Chet Chance — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts