Oregon Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kate Brown an 89% chance of winning the Oregon Governor 2016 primary. Kate Brown won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kate Brown — 89% model odds (won)
2. Bud Pierce — 11% model odds
3. Cliff Thomason — 0% model odds
4. James Foster — 0% model odds
5. Aaron Donald Auer — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts