New Hampshire Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Colin Van Ostern a 50% chance of winning the New Hampshire Governor 2016 primary. Colin Van Ostern won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Colin Van Ostern — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Ian Freeman — 13% model odds
  3. Derek Dextraze — 13% model odds
  4. Steve Marchand — 12% model odds
  5. Mark Connolly — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts