New Hampshire Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Sununu a 73% chance of winning the New Hampshire Governor 2016 primary. Chris Sununu won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Sununu — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Colin Van Ostern — 27% model odds
  3. Max Abramson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts