North Dakota Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Wayne Stenehjem a 44% chance of winning the North Dakota Governor 2016 primary. Doug Burgum won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Wayne Stenehjem — 44% model odds
2. Wayne Stenehjem — 44% model odds
3. Rick Becker — 3% model odds
4. Paul Sorum — 3% model odds
5. Doug Burgum — 3% model odds
6. Doug Burgum — 3% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts