North Carolina Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pat Mccrory a 93% chance of winning the North Carolina Governor 2016 primary. Pat Mccrory won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Pat Mccrory — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Brawley — 4% model odds
  3. Charles Moss — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts