North Carolina Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pat Mccrory a 67% chance of winning the North Carolina Governor 2016 primary. Roy Cooper won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Pat Mccrory — 67% model odds
  2. Roy Cooper — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Lon Cecil — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts