Montana Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Gianforte a 50% chance of winning the Montana Governor 2016 primary. Greg Gianforte won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Gianforte — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Terry Nelson — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts