Missouri Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Koster an 86% chance of winning the Missouri Governor 2016 primary. Chris Koster won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Chris Koster — 86% model odds (won)
2. Charles Wheeler — 5% model odds
3. Eric Morrison — 5% model odds
4. Leonard Steinman — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts