Missouri Governor 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric Greitens a 79% chance of winning the Missouri Governor 2016 primary. Eric Greitens won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eric Greitens — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Koster — 21% model odds
  3. Cisse Spragins — 0% model odds
  4. Jr. Lester Benton Turilli — 0% model odds
  5. Don Fitz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts