Vermont Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter Shumlin a 93% chance of winning the Vermont Governor 2014 primary. Peter Shumlin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Peter Shumlin — 93% model odds (won)
  2. H. Brooke Paige — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts