Texas Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Abbott an 80% chance of winning the Texas Governor 2014 primary. Greg Abbott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Abbott — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Miriam Martinez — 7% model odds
  3. Larry Kilgore — 7% model odds
  4. Lisa Fritsch — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts