Pennsylvania Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Wolf a 60% chance of winning the Pennsylvania Governor 2014 primary. Tom Wolf won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom Wolf — 60% model odds (won)
2. Allyson Schwartz — 30% model odds
3. Rob Mccord — 5% model odds
4. Katie Mcginty — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts