Pennsylvania Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Wolf Mike Stack a 52% chance of winning the Pennsylvania Governor 2014 primary. Tom Wolf Mike Stack won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom Wolf Mike Stack — 52% model odds (won)
2. Tom Corbettjim Cawley — 48% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts