New Hampshire Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Walter Havenstein a 57% chance of winning the New Hampshire Governor 2014 primary. Walter Havenstein won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Walter Havenstein — 57% model odds (won)
2. Daniel Greene — 15% model odds
3. Jonathan Smolin — 15% model odds
4. Andrew Hemingway — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts