Minnesota Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Dayton/Tina Smith an 83% chance of winning the Minnesota Governor 2014 primary. Mark Dayton/Tina Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mark Dayton/Tina Smith — 83% model odds (won)
2. Leslie Davis/Gregor Soderberg — 9% model odds
3. Bill Dahn/James Vigliotti — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts