Minnesota Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Daytontina Smith an 88% chance of winning the Minnesota Governor 2014 primary. Mark Daytontina Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Daytontina Smith — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff Johnsonbill Kuisle — 12% model odds
  3. Hannah Nicollettim Gieseke — 0% model odds
  4. Chris Wrightdavid Daniels — 0% model odds
  5. Chris Holbrookchris Dock — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts