Massachusetts Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Charlie Baker a 62% chance of winning the Massachusetts Governor 2014 primary. Charlie Baker won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Charlie Baker — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Martha Coakley — 38% model odds
  3. Evan Falchuk — 0% model odds
  4. Scott Lively — 0% model odds
  5. Jeff Mccormick — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts