Illinois Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bruce Rauner a 72% chance of winning the Illinois Governor 2014 primary. Bruce Rauner won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bruce Rauner — 72% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Brady — 10% model odds
  3. Kirk Dillard — 9% model odds
  4. Dan Rutherford — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts