Illinois Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pat Quinn a 67% chance of winning the Illinois Governor 2014 primary. Bruce Rauner won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Pat Quinn — 67% model odds
  2. Bruce Rauner — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Chad Grimm — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts