Idaho Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Butch Otter a 77% chance of winning the Idaho Governor 2014 primary. Butch Otter won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Butch Otter — 77% model odds (won)
2. Russ Fulcher — 8% model odds
3. Harley Brown — 8% model odds
4. Walt Bayes — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts