Hawaii Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Ige a 61% chance of winning the Hawaii Governor 2014 primary. David Ige won, matching the model's top pick.

1. David Ige — 61% model odds (won)
2. Neil Abercrombie — 21% model odds
3. Van Tanabe — 9% model odds
4. Over Vote — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts