Hawaii Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Ige an 88% chance of winning the Hawaii Governor 2014 primary. David Ige won, matching the model's top pick.

1. David Ige — 88% model odds (won)
2. Duke Aiona — 12% model odds
3. Mufi Hannemann — 0% model odds
4. Jeff Davis — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts