Connecticut Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dannel Malloy a 35% chance of winning the Connecticut Governor 2014 primary. Dannel Malloy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dannel Malloy — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Dannel Malloy — 28% model odds
  3. Thomas C. Foley — 14% model odds
  4. Dannel Malloy — 8% model odds
  5. Thomas C. Foley — 8% model odds
  6. Thomas C. Foley — 8% model odds
  7. Joe Visconti — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts