Arizona Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Doug Ducey a 92% chance of winning the Arizona Governor 2014 primary. Doug Ducey won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Doug Ducey — 92% model odds (won)
2. Fred Duval — 8% model odds
3. Barry Hess — 0% model odds
4. John Lewis Mealer — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts