Alaska Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Parnell an 89% chance of winning the Alaska Governor 2014 primary. Sean Parnell won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Sean Parnell — 89% model odds (won)
2. Russ Millette — 4% model odds
3. Brad Snowden — 4% model odds
4. Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts