Alaska Governor 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Parnell a 65% chance of winning the Alaska Governor 2014 primary. Bill Walker won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Sean Parnell — 65% model odds
2. Bill Walker — 28% model odds (won)
3. Carolyn Clift — 3% model odds
4. J. R. Myers — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts