Wyoming House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Liz Cheney a 31% chance of winning the Wyoming House 2022 primary. Harriett Hageman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Liz Cheney — 31% model odds
  2. Harriett Hageman — 14% model odds (won)
  3. Anthony Bouchard — 14% model odds
  4. Denton Knapp — 14% model odds
  5. Robyn M. Belinskey — 14% model odds
  6. Scattered — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts