West Virginia House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave David B. Mckinley a 52% chance of winning the West Virginia House 2022 primary. Alexander X. Mooney won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- David B. Mckinley — 52% model odds
- Alexander X. Mooney — 24% model odds (won)
- Susan Buchser-Lochocki — 8% model odds
- Mike Seckman — 8% model odds
- Rhonda A. Hercules — 8% model odds