Wisconsin Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Johnson a 66% chance of winning the Wisconsin Senate 2022 primary. Ron Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ron Johnson — 66% model odds (won)
  2. David Schroeder — 17% model odds
  3. Scattered — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts