Wisconsin House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shaun Clarmont a 49% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2022 primary. Mike Gallagher won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Shaun Clarmont — 49% model odds
- Mike Gallagher — 43% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 8% model odds