Wisconsin House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brad Pfaff a 48% chance of winning the Wisconsin House 2022 primary. Brad Pfaff won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Brad Pfaff — 48% model odds (won)
2. Deb Baldus Mcgrath — 26% model odds
3. Rebecca Cooke — 18% model odds
4. Mark Neumann — 4% model odds
5. Scattered — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts