Washington Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Henry Clay Dennison a 25% chance of winning the Washington Senate 2022 primary. Henry Clay Dennison won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Henry Clay Dennison — 25% model odds (won)
2. Martin D. Hash — 25% model odds (won)
3. Dan Phan Doan — 25% model odds
4. Scattered — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts