Washington Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patty Murray a 25% chance of winning the Washington Senate 2022 primary. Patty Murray won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Patty Murray — 25% model odds (won)
2. Ravin Pierre — 15% model odds (won)
3. Mohammad Hassan Said — 15% model odds
4. Dr. Pano Churchill — 15% model odds
5. Bryan Solstin — 15% model odds
6. Sam Cusmir — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts