Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Keith R. Swank a 50% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Keith R. Swank won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Keith R. Swank — 50% model odds (won)
2. Dan Earnest Gordon — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts