Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marilyn Strickland a 50% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Marilyn Strickland won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Marilyn Strickland — 50% model odds (won)
2. Eric Mahaffy — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts