Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Doug Basler a 36% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Doug Basler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Doug Basler — 36% model odds (won)
  2. Sea M. Chan — 32% model odds (won)
  3. Seth D. Pedersen — 32% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts