Washington House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kim Schrier a 47% chance of winning the Washington House 2022 primary. Kim Schrier won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kim Schrier — 47% model odds (won)
  2. Emet Ward — 18% model odds (won)
  3. Keith Arnold — 18% model odds
  4. Patrick Dillon — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts